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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73250204060801004937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.8
32.932.1
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
red by 14.9
6498
#17
17.10.6
16.316.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Second
1720
#19
13.60.8
14.013.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 5.2
3559
#18
8.40.6
8.08.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Third
8430
#20
13.00.8
13.612.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
red by 7.5
9453
#25
5.50.6
4.24.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed