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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83522040601001208373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.1
24.324.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
red by 4.2
21.01.5
19.721.2
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
Second
5484
#10
25.10.1
24.724.8
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 7.0
2197
#15
18.11.5
16.818.3
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Third
23.30.1
22.522.6
Auto12.5
Teleop8.4
End2.4
red by 7.5
8116
#12
15.81.5
14.015.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned