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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219004060801001201402497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.90.4
13.513.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 19.5
868
#4
32.51.2
31.032.1
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
9554
#21
7.70.4
8.27.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
blue by 16.7
234
#5
24.41.2
22.924.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Third
3890
#23
5.30.4
5.75.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 15.3
20.61.2
19.620.8
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed