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Red42
810321.4
74778.9
91194.5
Blue12
548416.9
39365.2
314713.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24490102030406070804212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.8
11.612.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 4.5
5484
#10
16.93.3
15.812.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Second
7477
#19
8.90.8
7.88.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.7
blue by 5.1
3147
#16
13.93.3
13.310.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Third
9119
#29
4.50.8
5.46.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
blue by 0.7
3936
#24
5.23.3
12.39.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed