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Red71
286712.7
394023.9
46123.8
Blue31
386511.0
672113.6
3289.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54310102040506070807131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.6
18.119.7
Auto9.1
Teleop11.7
End3.1
red by 10.3
6721
#23
13.60.0
11.211.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Second
461
#5
23.81.6
15.717.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 12.9
3865
#17
11.00.0
5.75.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Third
2867
#13
12.71.6
12.414.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
red by 2.9
328
#30
9.80.0
14.014.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed