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Red38
74778.9
82919.7
427227.0
Blue9
95304.2
91194.5
21718.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562104080389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.5
18.717.2
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End1.0
red by 18.6
2171
#15
8.42.1
9.87.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Second
829
#7
19.71.5
19.517.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.8
red by 15.2
9119
#29
4.52.1
6.24.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
Third
7477
#19
8.91.5
8.67.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.7
red by 4.7
9530
#31
4.22.1
7.14.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed