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Red49
46123.8
810321.4
90716.6
Blue40
317620.1
540219.5
94312.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453201020405060704940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
23.81.1
17.418.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 3.8
3176
#11
20.11.1
16.417.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
21.41.1
12.413.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 1.9
19.51.1
8.79.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Third
9071
#26
6.61.1
9.310.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 4.5
9431
#32
2.11.1
5.36.4
Auto0.3
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed