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Red42
71985.9
548416.9
13517.8
Blue33
314713.9
3289.8
29092.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4230010205060704233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#12
17.80.0
15.115.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
red by 3.9
3147
#16
13.90.6
10.09.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Second
5484
#10
16.90.0
12.612.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
red by 7.1
328
#30
9.80.6
14.013.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
7198
#28
5.90.0
9.19.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End0.3
red by 3.1
2909
#27
2.80.6
4.63.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed