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Red20
39365.2
95545.2
672113.6
Blue30
695610.9
4519.8
386511.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3138010205060702030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6721
#23
13.61.5
11.29.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 6.1
45
#4
19.80.4
14.113.7
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
9554
#20
5.21.5
8.67.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 5.8
3865
#17
11.00.4
5.75.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Third
3936
#24
5.21.5
9.17.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 5.7
6956
#14
10.90.4
13.913.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed