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Red39
13517.8
219717.3
90716.6
Blue47
7111.9
4519.8
39365.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4139202530354550553947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#12
17.80.3
15.115.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 2.0
45
#4
19.80.5
13.714.1
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
2197
#18
17.30.3
11.211.4
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 5.4
71
#22
11.90.5
14.414.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Third
9071
#26
6.60.3
10.410.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 1.4
3936
#24
5.20.5
7.58.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed