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Red16
15559.7
29092.8
386511.0
Blue53
46123.8
102418.0
317620.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196504060801001653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3865
#17
11.01.3
5.34.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 12.9
461
#5
23.80.1
18.518.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Second
1555
#21
9.71.3
13.612.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.9
blue by 10.4
3176
#11
20.10.1
17.517.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Third
2909
#27
2.81.3
3.92.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
blue by 15.2
18.00.1
17.717.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed