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Red40
164618.1
695610.9
74778.9
Blue61
810321.4
82919.7
314713.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3447102030406070804061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#25
18.10.8
11.812.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 3.2
21.42.2
13.515.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
6956
#14
10.90.8
13.514.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.8
blue by 8.8
829
#7
19.72.2
17.920.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Third
7477
#19
8.90.8
7.17.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.7
blue by 5.1
3147
#16
13.92.2
9.411.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed