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Red63
150128.5
95545.2
394023.9
Blue32
71985.9
7111.9
286712.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58432030507080901006332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.4
23.925.3
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.0
red by 15.9
2867
#13
12.71.5
16.214.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Second
23.91.4
19.320.7
Auto9.1
Teleop11.7
End3.1
red by 12.0
71
#22
11.91.5
14.913.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Third
9554
#20
5.21.4
7.18.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 0.7
7198
#28
5.91.5
9.17.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed