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Red60
91194.5
672113.6
540219.5
Blue18
94312.1
3289.8
21718.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253104060801001201401606018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.52.9
9.812.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 9.7
328
#30
9.81.6
13.411.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Second
6721
#23
13.62.9
9.712.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
red by 5.2
2171
#15
8.41.6
7.76.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Third
9119
#29
4.52.9
4.17.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
red by 2.4
9431
#32
2.11.6
6.44.8
Auto0.3
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed