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Red58
4519.8
314713.9
46123.8
Blue21
90716.6
95304.2
7111.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52280204060805821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
23.81.0
18.419.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 11.9
71
#22
11.90.8
13.412.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Second
45
#4
19.81.0
14.115.1
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
red by 13.2
9071
#26
6.60.8
10.69.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Third
3147
#16
13.91.0
11.612.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
red by 9.7
9530
#31
4.20.8
4.43.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed