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Red25
386511.0
317620.1
91194.5
Blue81
427227.0
810321.4
164618.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28560204060802581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#11
20.10.4
17.417.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 7.0
27.03.2
18.521.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Second
3865
#17
11.00.4
4.03.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
blue by 10.4
21.43.2
15.719.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
9119
#29
4.50.4
7.06.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
blue by 13.6
1646
#25
18.13.2
12.715.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed