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Red43
21718.4
13517.8
15559.7
Blue57
540219.5
548416.9
29092.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39290102050604357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#12
17.80.5
15.315.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
blue by 1.7
19.51.1
12.713.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Second
1555
#21
9.70.5
12.312.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.9
blue by 7.2
5484
#10
16.91.1
12.013.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Third
2171
#15
8.40.5
6.16.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.1
red by 5.6
2909
#27
2.81.1
2.63.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned