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Red64
540219.5
810321.4
286712.7
Blue57
13517.8
82919.7
672113.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535545506065706457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.8
19.020.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 1.7
829
#7
19.70.9
20.421.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Second
19.51.8
13.815.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 1.7
135
#12
17.80.9
15.816.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Third
2867
#13
12.71.8
15.317.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 1.0
6721
#23
13.60.9
13.114.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed