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Red22
15559.7
46123.8
95304.2
Blue33
21718.4
219717.3
39365.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4127010205060702233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
23.81.5
19.417.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 6.5
2197
#18
17.30.2
12.913.1
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
1555
#21
9.71.5
12.811.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.9
red by 1.3
2171
#15
8.40.2
6.66.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Third
9530
#31
4.21.5
3.62.0
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 1.0
3936
#24
5.20.2
6.97.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed