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Red44
695610.9
317620.1
672113.6
Blue70
4519.8
13517.8
427227.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4664204060801004470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#11
20.10.4
17.717.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 7.0
27.00.9
24.725.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Second
6721
#23
13.60.4
13.813.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 6.1
45
#4
19.80.9
16.217.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Third
6956
#14
10.90.4
12.111.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.8
blue by 6.9
135
#12
17.80.9
15.216.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed