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Red47
102418.0
71985.9
21718.4
Blue38
74778.9
90716.6
548416.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3436102030405060704738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.6
17.718.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End2.5
red by 1.1
5484
#10
16.90.1
14.614.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
Second
2171
#15
8.40.6
6.67.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 0.4
7477
#19
8.90.1
10.110.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Third
7198
#28
5.90.6
6.87.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 0.7
9071
#26
6.60.1
7.87.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed