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Red60
810321.4
21718.4
4519.8
Blue36
91194.5
314713.9
286712.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50350204060806036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.5
19.220.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 7.5
3147
#16
13.90.2
14.614.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Second
45
#4
19.81.5
17.018.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
red by 7.1
2867
#13
12.70.2
15.415.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
2171
#15
8.41.5
7.18.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.1
red by 3.9
9119
#29
4.50.2
3.33.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed