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Red67
7111.9
548416.9
317620.1
Blue37
95304.2
672113.6
164618.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493510203040607080906737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#11
20.11.6
16.317.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 1.9
1646
#25
18.10.4
15.215.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
Second
5484
#10
16.91.7
14.416.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
red by 3.3
6721
#23
13.60.3
13.914.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Third
71
#22
11.91.6
12.213.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
red by 7.7
9530
#31
4.20.3
3.94.2
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed