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Red55
548416.9
46123.8
82919.7
Blue47
102418.0
286712.7
13517.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6755204060801001205547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#5
23.80.3
21.921.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
red by 5.8
18.00.7
17.917.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Second
829
#7
19.70.3
21.220.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.8
red by 1.9
135
#12
17.80.7
17.817.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Third
5484
#10
16.90.3
16.115.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
red by 4.2
2867
#13
12.70.7
15.214.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed