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Red24
21718.4
90716.6
695610.9
Blue38
95545.2
386511.0
810321.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323802060801002438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#14
10.90.8
12.211.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.8
blue by 10.5
21.40.3
20.721.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
2171
#15
8.40.9
8.67.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 2.5
3865
#17
11.00.4
8.38.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Third
9071
#26
6.60.9
8.77.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 1.4
9554
#20
5.20.4
4.44.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed