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Red15
82919.7
94312.1
7111.9
Blue64
29092.8
394023.9
4519.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424902060801001564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#7
19.71.8
20.819.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.8
blue by 4.2
23.90.8
23.123.9
Auto9.1
Teleop11.7
End3.1
Second
71
#22
11.91.8
13.712.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 7.9
45
#4
19.80.8
18.219.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Third
9431
#32
2.11.8
4.22.4
Auto0.3
Teleop1.3
End0.5
blue by 0.8
2909
#27
2.80.8
2.02.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed