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Red50
164618.1
548416.9
91194.5
Blue67
46123.8
386511.0
13517.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375502060801005067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#25
18.11.1
16.517.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 5.7
461
#5
23.80.7
21.522.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.4
End1.7
Second
5484
#10
16.91.1
15.816.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End1.2
blue by 0.9
135
#12
17.80.7
17.017.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Third
9119
#29
4.51.1
3.44.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
blue by 6.5
3865
#17
11.00.7
8.79.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned