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Red58
314713.9
21718.4
317620.1
Blue54
540219.5
74778.9
219717.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434502060801001201405854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#11
20.10.6
17.918.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 0.6
19.51.0
17.718.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Second
3147
#16
13.90.6
13.814.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End0.6
blue by 3.4
2197
#18
17.31.0
15.716.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
2171
#15
8.40.6
7.88.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 0.4
7477
#19
8.91.0
7.18.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed