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Red18
15559.7
286712.7
90716.6
Blue42
3289.8
150128.5
672113.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33650204060801001842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#13
12.71.3
14.513.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 15.9
28.51.0
29.928.9
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.0
Second
1555
#21
9.71.3
11.09.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.9
blue by 3.9
6721
#23
13.61.0
14.213.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Third
9071
#26
6.61.3
7.96.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 3.2
328
#30
9.81.0
10.89.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed