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Red47
286712.7
317620.1
3289.8
Blue52
810321.4
39365.2
150128.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4743303540455055604752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#11
20.10.6
16.717.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 8.5
28.51.4
18.219.6
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.0
Second
2867
#13
12.70.6
11.912.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 8.7
21.41.4
10.111.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
328
#30
9.80.6
13.414.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 4.6
3936
#24
5.21.4
10.912.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed