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Red54
82919.7
15559.7
91194.5
Blue19
4519.8
90716.6
71985.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38370102030506070805419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#7
19.70.5
16.817.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.8
blue by 0.1
45
#4
19.81.6
13.511.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
1555
#21
9.70.5
12.713.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.9
red by 3.1
9071
#26
6.61.6
8.77.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Third
9119
#29
4.50.5
4.95.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End0.7
blue by 1.4
7198
#28
5.91.6
11.09.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed