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Red83
23422.0
46133.3
40086.3
Blue40
45809.7
94316.6
501027.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55493040607080901008340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#2
33.31.9
23.525.4
Auto11.4
Teleop18.9
End3.0
red by 5.5
5010
#12
27.90.4
30.530.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Second
234
#10
22.01.9
17.319.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 12.3
4580
#26
9.70.4
11.511.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
4008
#33
6.33.2
8.711.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
blue by 0.4
9431
#29
6.60.4
3.43.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed