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Red44
39476.9
349421.0
86828.3
Blue64
286719.4
39369.7
174719.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573502040801004464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#6
28.30.5
16.415.9
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
red by 8.4
1747
#15
19.81.1
13.614.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Second
3494
#13
21.00.3
19.819.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End3.8
red by 1.6
19.40.6
16.116.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Third
3947
#34
6.90.5
12.411.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 2.8
3936
#32
9.70.6
4.55.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed