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Red70
29231.8
498223.6
39369.7
Blue37
761720.8
13519.1
44858.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544102060801001207037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#3
31.80.9
24.525.3
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End0.8
red by 10.9
7617
#11
20.80.1
11.010.9
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Second
4982
#18
23.60.9
17.518.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End2.4
red by 4.5
135
#21
19.10.1
18.418.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Third
3936
#32
9.70.9
5.26.0
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
red by 1.5
4485
#31
8.20.2
9.19.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed