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Red65
695614.6
394025.4
45809.7
Blue43
95304.9
349421.0
40086.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533802060801006543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#14
25.40.6
24.124.7
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End4.3
red by 4.4
3494
#13
21.00.7
19.518.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End3.8
Second
6956
#22
14.60.6
10.911.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End0.8
red by 8.4
4008
#33
6.31.2
11.910.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Third
4580
#26
9.70.6
11.111.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 4.8
9530
#24
4.90.7
5.14.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed