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Red51
174719.8
386511.5
874213.1
Blue7
501027.9
13519.1
38904.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3369020406080100517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#15
19.80.8
14.715.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 8.0
5010
#12
27.93.4
30.126.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Second
8742
#27
13.10.5
9.710.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.4
End1.3
blue by 6.0
135
#21
19.13.4
18.314.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Third
3865
#20
11.50.5
9.49.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
red by 7.0
3890
#30
4.55.6
9.53.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed