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Red76
86828.3
150133.9
29231.8
Blue110
46133.3
498223.6
174128.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787760709010011076110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.1
28.728.8
Auto15.9
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 0.6
461
#2
33.31.7
25.427.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.9
End3.0
Second
292
#3
31.80.1
25.325.5
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End0.8
red by 3.2
28.61.7
26.528.2
Auto10.7
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Third
868
#6
28.30.2
15.916.1
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
red by 4.7
4982
#18
23.61.7
18.320.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned