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Red59
91197.6
498223.6
86828.3
Blue89
745737.7
501027.9
44713.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4279020601001201405989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#6
28.31.8
16.118.0
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
blue by 9.5
37.70.8
29.830.7
Auto16.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
4982
#18
23.61.1
20.021.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End2.4
blue by 4.3
5010
#12
27.90.8
26.727.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Third
9119
#28
7.61.1
6.37.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.1
blue by 5.8
447
#19
13.30.8
10.311.1
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned