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Red88
32810.6
23422.0
150133.9
Blue57
174128.6
40086.3
695614.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6652204060801008857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.7
28.530.1
Auto15.9
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 5.3
28.60.6
28.228.7
Auto10.7
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Second
234
#10
22.01.7
19.821.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 7.4
6956
#22
14.60.6
12.513.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
328
#17
10.61.7
9.611.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 4.3
4008
#33
6.31.0
7.68.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed