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Red106
86828.3
745737.7
174719.8
Blue60
13519.1
747711.1
498223.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7748020406010012010660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.72.5
30.733.2
Auto16.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 14.1
4982
#18
23.60.5
21.121.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Second
868
#6
28.34.2
18.022.2
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
red by 9.2
135
#21
19.10.5
15.416.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Third
1747
#15
19.84.2
17.521.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
red by 8.8
7477
#23
11.10.5
10.511.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed