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Red39
82927.9
45809.7
39369.7
Blue92
394025.4
91197.6
174128.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427302060801001203992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#7
27.90.2
22.121.9
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End2.8
blue by 0.7
28.60.7
28.729.4
Auto10.7
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Second
3936
#32
9.70.2
7.97.7
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 15.7
3940
#14
25.40.7
25.926.6
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Third
4580
#26
9.70.2
11.611.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 2.1
9119
#28
7.60.7
7.48.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed