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Red59
747711.1
29231.8
101819.3
Blue48
23422.0
394025.4
39369.7
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56623040507080901005948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#3
31.80.5
27.327.8
Auto14.1
Teleop16.9
End0.8
red by 6.4
3940
#14
25.40.5
26.626.0
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Second
1018
#16
19.30.5
13.413.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.2
blue by 2.7
234
#10
22.00.5
21.520.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Third
7477
#23
11.10.5
11.011.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End1.3
red by 1.4
3936
#32
9.70.5
7.77.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed