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Red97
745737.7
761720.8
82927.9
Blue45
13519.1
45809.7
32810.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8537020601001201401609745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.71.7
33.234.9
Auto16.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 18.6
135
#21
19.10.4
16.016.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Second
829
#7
27.91.7
21.923.7
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 17.3
328
#17
10.60.4
11.712.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
7617
#11
20.81.7
15.717.4
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 11.2
4580
#26
9.70.4
11.411.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed