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Red75
501027.9
174128.6
44858.2
Blue19
38904.5
44713.3
39476.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7819040601001207519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.1
29.429.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.3
End2.5
red by 15.2
447
#19
13.30.3
11.010.6
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Second
5010
#12
27.90.1
28.028.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
red by 21.0
3947
#34
6.90.6
9.79.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Third
4485
#31
8.20.2
5.86.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.8
red by 3.7
3890
#30
4.50.6
3.52.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed