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Red80
82927.9
46133.3
38904.5
Blue58
39369.7
40086.3
745737.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59532040801008058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#2
33.31.8
27.829.6
Auto11.4
Teleop18.9
End3.0
blue by 4.4
37.70.6
34.034.6
Auto16.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
829
#7
27.91.8
23.525.3
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 18.2
3936
#32
9.70.6
7.17.7
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Third
3890
#30
4.52.8
1.44.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 1.8
4008
#33
6.30.9
7.98.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsMissed