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Red45
44858.2
32810.6
498223.6
Blue31
95304.9
672113.4
13519.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42412530354550554531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#18
23.60.5
20.721.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End2.4
red by 4.5
135
#21
19.10.4
16.416.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
Second
328
#17
10.60.5
10.811.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 2.8
6721
#25
13.40.4
15.715.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End2.0
Third
4485
#31
8.20.8
6.06.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.8
red by 3.3
9530
#24
4.90.4
4.74.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed