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Red75
348721.7
82927.9
13519.1
Blue59
501027.9
349421.0
747711.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646445505560707580857559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#7
27.90.6
19.720.3
Auto10.6
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Level
5010
#12
27.90.0
30.530.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Second
21.70.6
18.719.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.7
End0.6
red by 0.7
3494
#13
21.00.0
19.919.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End3.8
Third
135
#21
19.10.6
17.818.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.5
red by 8.0
7477
#23
11.10.0
9.29.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed