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Red38
394025.4
386511.5
44858.2
Blue55
32810.6
695614.6
745737.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5056204060801003855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#14
25.40.9
25.024.1
Auto10.1
Teleop11.0
End4.3
blue by 12.4
37.70.3
29.529.1
Auto16.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
3865
#20
11.50.9
10.39.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End1.7
blue by 3.2
6956
#22
14.60.3
11.210.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
4485
#31
8.21.4
10.69.1
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End0.8
blue by 2.4
328
#17
10.60.3
9.18.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned