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Red21
32810.6
95304.9
44713.3
Blue54
86828.3
90713.5
39369.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304002060802154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#19
13.30.5
13.513.1
Auto1.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 14.9
868
#6
28.31.7
24.426.0
Auto13.7
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Second
328
#17
10.60.5
10.610.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 0.9
3936
#32
9.71.3
8.29.5
Auto5.7
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Third
9530
#24
4.90.5
4.03.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.8
End0.9
red by 1.4
9071
#35
3.51.3
2.63.9
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed