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Red62
91197.6
101819.3
501027.9
Blue101
761720.8
286719.4
46133.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547620406010012062101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#12
27.90.7
26.627.3
Auto8.3
Teleop17.2
End2.4
blue by 5.5
461
#2
33.31.6
30.432.1
Auto11.4
Teleop18.9
End3.0
Second
1018
#16
19.30.7
17.818.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.2
blue by 1.5
7617
#11
20.81.6
18.019.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Third
9119
#28
7.60.7
7.27.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.1
blue by 11.9
19.41.6
17.919.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed